The Study By Manikant Singh
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 India – Maldives

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 India – Maldives

Context:

Recently, External Affairs Minister Jaishankar wrapped up his Maldives visit, during which Maldivian President Muizzu appreciated India’s continued developmental assistance and reaffirmed his commitment to deepening the India-Maldives relationship further.

 

Outcomes of the Visit:

  • Inauguration of India’s Line of Credit (LoC)-assisted water and sewerage network project covering 28 Maldivian islands.
  • MoUs were exchanged for the capacity building of 1,000 Maldivian civil servants in India and for introducing UPI in the Maldives. 
  • Six High Impact Community Development Projects (HICDPs) funded by India, focusing on mental health, special education, speech therapy, and street lighting, were inaugurated. 
  • Additionally, the Addu Reclamation and Shore Protection Project and the Addu Detour Link Bridge Project were jointly inaugurated.

 

India – Maldives Relation:

 

Economic Relation: 

  • India – Maldives Bilateral Trade stands at 549 million USD with total Exports to Maldives at  543.83 million USD . 
  • India emerged as Maldives’  largest trade partner in 2023.

 


Defence and Security Cooperation:

  • Capacity Building/Training:India provides the largest number of training opportunities for Maldivian National Defence Force (MNDF), meeting around 70% of their defence training requirements.

 

 

Infrastructure & Connectivity Projects:

  • India-assisted Greater Male Connectivity Project (GMCP) .
  • The project seeks to link Male with Villingili, Gulhifalhu, and Thilafushi islands via a network of bridges, causeways, and roads. 
  • It is vital for the development of the Gulhifalhu Port and is expected to significantly boost the Maldivian economy by creating jobs and stimulating economic activity.

Tourism:

  • From 2021 to 2023, India remained the top source of tourists with market shares of 23%, 14.4%, and 11.1%. 
  • In March 2022, India and the Maldives agreed to an open skies arrangement to enhance connectivity.


Importance/ convergence in Relations:

  • Geo-Economic Importance: The Maldives is strategically located along critical Indian Ocean trade routes, with 50% of India’s external trade and 80% of its energy imports passing through nearby sea lanes.
  • Geo-Political Role: The Maldives partners with India in regional organisations like the Colombo Security Conclave, IORA, SAARC, and SASEC, and supports India’s bid for a permanent UNSC seat.
  • Climate Change Vulnerability: Both India and the Maldives, being low-lying island nations, are highly vulnerable to climate change impacts such as rising sea levels and marine heatwaves. The Maldives is at particular risk of submergence.
  • Geo-Strategic Value: The Maldives serves as a vital defence line for India, addressing threats from terrorism, piracy, drug trafficking, and maritime crime. It also acts as a crucial checkpoint in the Indian Ocean.
  • Maritime Security: Maldives is a crucial ally in India’s ‘Neighbourhood First’ policy and Vision SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region). 

 

 

Challenges in Relation:

  • Political Challenges: President-elect Dr. Mohamed Muizzu and former President Abdulla Yameen, strong proponents of the ‘India Out’ campaign, oppose India’s military presence in the Maldives, posing a significant challenge for India.
  • Radicalisation: A significant number of Maldivians have joined extremist groups like ISIS, and there is a rising risk that the Maldives could be used by terrorist organisations based in Pakistan to target India.
  • Growing Chinese Influence: With a pro-China government in power, the Maldives, a key part of China’s ‘String of Pearls’ initiative, is likely to reduce India’s diplomatic influence in the region.
  • Tourism Strain:Recent diplomatic tensions have hurt tourism, a crucial sector for the Maldivian economy. 
  • Negative remarks by Maldivian officials about Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Lakshadweep led to calls for a boycott among Indian tourists. 
  • Since Indian tourists are a key revenue source, this situation poses economic risks for the Maldives.
  • Hydrographic Survey Agreement Revocation:The Maldives’ revocation of a hydrographic survey agreement with India has sparked concerns in India about its strategic interests. 
  • This decision highlights Maldivian apprehensions that India’s activities may be seen as intelligence gathering.

 

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