Soil Moisture Depletion and Its Impact

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Soil Moisture Depletion and Its Impact

Soil moisture depletion contributed to sea-level rise, finds study

Context: Between 1979 and 2016, soil moisture (SM) depletion contributed to a 10.78 mm rise in global mean sea level (GMSL), corresponding to a loss of 3,941 gigatonnes (Gt) of land water.

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  • Since 2003, SM depletion has been deemed irreversible, intensifying to add an additional 2.76 mm rise in GMSL, equating to a loss of 1,009 Gt of water.
  • To visualise: 1 Gt of water = 1 cubic km. The 3,941 Gt loss would cover an area 2.6 times the size of Delhi (1,484 sq km), with a water depth of 1 km.

Deterioration of Water Resources

  • Sources such as groundwater and surface water bodies are declining due to:
    • Reduced rainfall, rising temperatures (increasing evapotranspiration), and rapid urbanisation.
    • More frequent and intense droughts, with drier spells now 1.7 times more frequent compared to the 1850–1990 average.

Link Between SM, Groundwater, and Drought Formation

  • The relationship between soil moisture and groundwater in drought formation remains under-researched.
  • Dr. Milind Mujumdar highlighted:
    • Variability in monsoon patterns, droughts, and floods directly impacts SM, weather systems, crop yields, and groundwater recharge.
    • Urges need for precise surface and sub-surface SM measurements with high spatial and temporal resolution.
    • Limited in-situ SM data restricts comprehensive climate impact studies.
    • His research indicates surface SM significantly influences temperature in strongly coupled regions like north-central India.
    • Groundwater decline is linked to SM, precipitation, agricultural practices, and urbanisation.
    • Geological factors also affect groundwater–SM relationship:
      • High SM: promotes recharge.
      • Low SM: reduces infiltration and increases depletion.
      • Excessive SM: can lead to waterlogging, preventing recharge.
      • Arid areas: deplete groundwater faster due to insufficient SM.
      • Maintaining optimal SM levels is essential for groundwater sustainability.

Key Data Sources and Observations

  • The study relied on data from:
    • ERA5-Land (1979–2016).
    • GRACE (2002–2017) and GRACE Follow-On (2018–present).
    • Satellite altimeters and Earth’s polar motion data.
  • Severe SM depletion was observed in Central Asia, Central Africa, East Asia, and North/South America.
  • Partial recovery was noted in parts of India, Australia, and North America, though insufficient to reverse the global trend.

Challenges and Scientific Caution

  • Benjamin Cook from NASA’s Goddard Institute expressed concerns:
    • The study heavily relies on the ERA5 dataset, which other datasets do not fully support.
    • The dataset’s time span may be too short to determine permanent changes, suggesting further research on natural climate variability.

Insights for India

  • Dr. Mujumdar emphasised:
    • Wet SM areas (e.g., Western Ghats, northeast India) are energy-controlled evaporation regimes.
    • Dry SM regions (e.g., northwest India) exhibit weak evaporation variability.
    • Moderate SM zones significantly affect evaporation variability and temperature dynamics.
  • Modelling experiments showed:
    • A 20% increase in SM perturbation could reduce extreme temperature event frequency by 60–70% and duration by 20–30%.
    • A 20% decrease could increase frequency and duration by 60–100% and 15–40%, respectively.

Drought Resilience and Solutions

  • Key themes at the 16th Conference of the Parties to the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (2024) included: Restoring degraded land and building drought resilience.
  • Suggested strategies for India:
    • High rainfall areas: Focus on flood management, better drainage, and waterlogging-resistant crops.
    • Arid regions: Implement efficient irrigation (e.g., drip/sprinkler), rainwater harvesting, and SM conservation (e.g., mulching, agroforestry, drought-resistant crops).
  • Advanced IoT-based observational networks are crucial for effective decision-making.
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