The 10th Raisina Dialogue

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The 10th Raisina Dialogue

Context:

The 10th edition of Raisina Dialogue is being held in New Delhi from March 17-19, 2025. The theme for this year: “Kālachakra – People, Peace, and Planet.” Over 3,500 participants from 125 countries, including Heads of State, Ministers, Military Commanders, Business Leaders, and Scholars, are attending.

About the 10th Raisina Dialogue

  • The Raisina Dialogue is India’s premier conference on geopolitics and geoeconomics, hosted annually by the Observer Research Foundation (ORF) in collaboration with the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA).
  • Diplomatic Engagements and Participation
    • Key Attendees: New Zealand PM Christopher Luxon (Chief Guest), Foreign Ministers from Bhutan, Nepal, Maldives, Mauritius, Ghana, Cuba, Peru, and Antigua & Barbuda.
    • U.S. Delegation: Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence), Ricky Gill (Special Assistant to Trump), and James Carafano (Senior Counsellor to Trump).
    • Europe: Eleven out of 20 attending Foreign Ministers are from European nations.
    • China: Presence of a speaker from Fudan University, indicating a thaw in India-China relations.
    • Canada: Former PM Stephen Harper, former Australian PM Tony Abbott, and Canadian Security Intelligence Service Director Daniel Rogers attending.
    • Notable Absences: No official participation from Pakistan and Bangladesh. Limited representation from ASEAN and GCC nations.

Key Agendas and Thematic Pillars

The Dialogue is structured around six thematic pillars:

  • Politics Interrupted: Shifting Sands and Rising Tides
    • Changing global power dynamics, with the emergence of new actors.
    • Geopolitical instability and the fragmentation of global governance structures.
    • Examining how nations are realigning in response to crises and shifting alliances.
    • Addressing the role of multilateralism in a world facing economic, political, and environmental uncertainties.
  • Resolving the Green Trilemma: Who, Where, & How
    • Balancing the three pillars of the energy transition – affordability, accessibility, and sustainability.
    • Addressing the Global South’s concerns regarding financing for climate action.
    • Debating climate equity and responsibilities in tackling the environmental crisis.
  • Digital Planet: Agents, Agencies, and Absences
    • Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI), cyber security, and digital public infrastructure (DPI).
    • Role of emerging technologies in governance and financial inclusion.
    • Addressing concerns over data sovereignty, digital divide, and cybersecurity threats.
  • Militant Mercantilism: Trade, Supply Chains & the Exchange Rate Addiction
    • The shift from globalisation to protectionism, with rising economic nationalism.
    • U.S. tariff policies under President Donald Trump, impacting global trade.
    • Supply chain disruptions, economic decoupling, and strategic trade alliances.
  • The Tiger’s Tale: Rewriting Development with a New Plan
    • The rise of the Global South in shaping new development paradigms.
    • Exploring alternative models of economic growth and regional cooperation.
    • Addressing healthcare, environmental security, and governance innovations in emerging economies.
  • Investing in Peace: Drivers, Institutions, & Leadership
    • Emerging security threats, including cyber warfare, non-state actors, and private militias.
    • The role of technological advancements in modern warfare.
    • The future of global leadership in maintaining international peace and stability.

Key Global Issues at Raisina Dialogue 2025

  • U.S. Foreign Policy Shifts under Donald Trump
    • The Ukraine war and ceasefire talks, including U.S.-Russia and U.S.-Ukraine negotiations.
    • NATO’s strained relations with the U.S.
    • Tariff policies impacting trade relations, particularly with India and Europe.
    • The Indo-Pacific strategy, U.S. stance on China and Taiwan.
  • Quad and Maritime Security
    • A high-level Quad panel with senior Navy leadership from India, Australia, Japan, and the U.S..
    • Strengthening maritime security cooperation ahead of the Quad Leaders’ Summit hosted by India.
    • Addressing freedom of navigation, maritime trade, and China’s regional influence.
  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict
    • Ukraine Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha attended the dialogue.
    • U.S.-Russia negotiations and European concerns over potential ceasefire agreements.
    • Absence of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, reflecting changing diplomatic engagements.
    • International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Chief Rafael Grossi to discuss nuclear security and Iran negotiations.

Strategic Importance of Raisina Dialogue

  • The Raisina Dialogue serves as a barometer of India’s global engagement and diplomatic priorities.
  • India’s position as a key voice for the Global South and a bridge between Western and developing nations.
  • The Dialogue provides a platform for strategic discussions on global trade, security, and technology.

Conclusion

  • The 10th edition of the Raisina Dialogue is crucial in shaping global discourse on geopolitics, economy, and security.
  • The focus on multi-stakeholder engagement enhances India’s role in international diplomacy.
  • As global uncertainties rise, India’s leadership in fostering strategic dialogues gains prominence.
  • The Raisina Dialogue 2025 is a significant milestone in India’s foreign policy, fostering global cooperation and addressing emerging global challenges.
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