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Prelims Pointer: Hawkish Economic Policy

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Prelims Pointer: Hawkish Economic Policy

Context:

As the US prepares for the presidential election in November, the Federal Reserve has indicated that it is unwilling to lower interest rates in a hurry.

 

More on News:

  • The US, as the world’s largest economy, has a significant influence on global markets.
  • Higher US interest rates strengthen the dollar against other currencies.
  • Stronger dollar incentivizes investors to pull money from emerging economies to the US.
  • This can destabilise emerging markets’ macroeconomic stability.

 

About Hawkish Economic Policy

  • In financial terms, “hawkish” and “dovish” refer to two different approaches in fiscal and monetary policy.
  • Hawks see inflation as the main concern and view high-interest rates as a tool necessary to keep it in check.
  • Thus, it is a monetary policy stance that focuses on keeping high interest rates to control inflation.
  • It prioritises controlling inflation over economic growth and supports an economy functioning below its full-employment level. 
  • It focuses on maintaining low inflation rates, typically around 2% to 3%. 
  • Impact on Economy: 
    • Hawkish policies help curb inflation by reducing borrowing and spending, which can lead to lower prices and a more stable economy.
    • Higher interest rates can slow down economic growth by increasing borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.
    • Hawkish policies can lead to higher unemployment rates as higher interest rates reduce job opportunities and increase the cost of borrowing.

Comparison with Dovish Policy: hawkish policy vs dovish policy.

Comparison with Dovish Policy: 

  • Dovish Policy: A monetary policy stance that favours lower interest rates to stimulate economic growth and employment.
  • Key Features:
    • Prioritises economic growth over inflation control.
    • Advocates for lower interest rates to encourage borrowing and spending.
    • Focuses on maintaining higher economic growth rates, often at the cost of higher inflation.
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