‘Relative Economic Performance of Indian States’

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‘Relative Economic Performance of Indian States’

Why in the News?

The Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) released a working paper titled ‘Relative Economic Performance of Indian States: 1960-61 to 2023-24’. The report analyses state-level economic performance, focusing on GDP contributions and variations in per capita income across Indian states.

 

Indicators Used for Analysis:

  • Share in India’s GDP: The state’s share in India’s GDP is determined by dividing the Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of a state by the total GSDP of all states, indicating its economic significance.
  • Relative Per Capita Income: Relative per capita income is measured by comparing the per capita Net State Domestic Product (NSDP) of a state to the all-India per capita Net National Product (or Net National Income in some years).
  • However, since NSDP excludes remittances, this measure may understate the income for states like Kerala, Bihar, and Uttar Pradesh, where remittances are significant.

 

What is the EAC-PM?

  • Nature: Non-constitutional, non-permanent, independent body.
  • Purpose: Provides economic advice to the Prime Minister.
  • History: Reconstituted several times; revived in 2017 with Bibek Debroy as the chairman.
  • Function: Highlights critical economic issues, including inflation, industrial output, and more.

 

Key Highlights of the Report:

Southern India:

      • Southern states (Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Kerala, Tamil Nadu) account for 30% of India’s GDP in 2023-24.
      • Post-1991, these states saw accelerated growth in technology and industry sectors.
      • These states have consistently outperformed in per capita income and GDP share over the past six decades.

Western India:

      • Maharashtra and Gujarat have shown remarkable economic growth.
      • Gujarat’s share increased from 6.4% in 2000-01 to 8.1% in 2022-23.
      • Their per capita incomes have remained above the national average since the 1960s.
      • Gujarat’s per capita income in 2023-24 is 160.7% of the national average, while Maharashtra’s is at 150.7%.

Eastern India:

      • States like West Bengal, Bihar, Assam, and Uttar Pradesh have seen a decline in their relative per capita income since 1960-61.
      • West Bengal: Once a top performer, its per capita income dropped to 83.7% of the national average by 2023-24.
      • Bihar: Per capita income decreased drastically from 70.3% in 1960-61 to just 32.8% in 2023-24.
      • However, Odisha has demonstrated positive economic trends.

Northern India:

      • Uttar Pradesh: After a long decline, its per capita income reached only 50.8% of the national average in 2023-24.
      • Punjab and Haryana: After the Green Revolution, Haryana outpaced Punjab. 
      • Punjab’s per capita income stood at 106.7% of the national average in 2023-24, while Haryana’s was at 176.8%.

Smaller States:

      • Sikkim: Per capita income soared to 319% of the national average in 2023-24.
      • Goa also demonstrated exceptional growth.
      • Madhya Pradesh: Improved significantly from 60.1% in 2010-11 to 80.2% in 2020-21, stabilising at 77.4% in 2023-24.

 

Regional Analysis and Challenges:

  • Western and southern states outperform others.
  • Eastern states like Bihar and West Bengal lag behind and require faster growth to catch up.
  • Maritime states like Gujarat and Tamil Nadu have seen better economic performance compared to inland regions.

 

Reasons for Steady Growth in Western and Southern States:

  • Industrial Base: Investment-friendly policies and diverse manufacturing sectors.
  • Service Sector: Focus on IT and urbanisation.
  • Agricultural Advancements: Sustainable practices supported by the government.
  • Regional Connectivity: Efficient transport and logistics.

 

Addressing Economic Inequality:

  • Governance: Strong institutions and industrialisation are key to prosperity.
  • Focus on Lagging States: Targeted interventions and improved human capital are necessary for balanced regional growth.

 

Recommendations for Enhancing State Economic Performance:

  • Decentralised Planning: Empower local governments for tailored development.
  • Infrastructure Development: Invest in transport and digital connectivity.
  • Sectoral Focus: Boost agricultural productivity and diversify industries.
  • Skill Development: Improve vocational training and education.
  • Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Support startups and research initiatives.
  • Digital Transformation: Enhance governance efficiency and digital literacy.
  • Collaborative Governance: Share best practices between states and the central government.

 

Way Forward:

  • Targeted Interventions: Focused policies, such as Finance Commission devolution, are necessary to uplift lagging states.
  • Human Capital Development: Improving education and skills is crucial for balanced growth.
  • Eastern State Focus: Industrialisation, skill training, and business-friendly environments can help replicate the success of southern states.
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